Seasonal Variation and Acute Stroke: Perspective from a Tropical African Locality
Oladotun Olalusi1, Joseph Yaria1, Akintomiwa Makanjuola2, Rufus Akinyemi3, Mayowa Owolabi4, Adesola Ogunniyi5
1University College Hospital Ibadan, 2University College Hospital, 3Institute for Advanced Medical Research and Training, 4Neurology Unit, Dept of Med, UCH, 5Medicine, University of Ibadan
Objective:

We investigated the seasonal pattern of acute stroke admissions and outcome in Ibadan, Southwest Nigeria.

Background:

Seasonal variation has been shown to affect hemorheological mechanisms and blood pressure regulation which may contribute to stroke incidence, subtype and outcome. An understanding of the seasonal variation of acute stroke may guide the design of a year-long pragmatic acute stroke care plan, especially in regions with meager resources

Design/Methods:

A multi-center retrospective study was performed. Anonymized information on stroke admissions from Jan 01, 2022 – Dec 31, 2022, was extracted from each hospital’s admission records. According to the Nigerian Meteorological Department guidelines, using the average ambient monthly temperatures and relative humidity, the year was divided into the wet (rainy) and dry (harmattan) seasons. The student's t-test was used to assess differences between groups. The level of statistical significance was fixed at P<0.05

Results:

Of 3001 acute medical admissions, there were 406 (13.5%) acute stroke admissions. Stroke admissions had two peaks: early to mid-wet season and mid-dry season. The proportion of stroke admissions was slightly higher in the wet season 207 (51%) than in the dry season 199 (49%). While stroke admissions, subtype, and outcome did not differ significantly by season, the mean(SD) ischemic stroke count vs hemorrhagic stroke count was slightly higher in the wet season [Ischemic:18.00 (4.15)], hemorrhagic: 18.50 (4.60)] compared to the dry season [ischemic: 14.67 (4.63), hemorrhagic: 16.50 (7.34)], p value 0.218 and 0.584 respectively

Conclusions:

Acute stroke was observed to have two seasonal peaks – mid-dry (harmattan) and early to mid-wet seasons. Besides prevailing variations in ambient temperatures and humidity, these bi-annual peaks may also be due to suboptimal risk factor control/surveillance, as the two peaks were incidentally the yuletide seasons in Nigeria. Our findings may therefore guide acute care planning during risk periods, requiring varying adaptations in local infrastructure and resource allocation

10.1212/WNL.0000000000217835
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