The Evolution of Randomized Clinical Trial Designs to Assess Therapeutics in Alzheimer Disease
Saman Arfaie1, Etienne Aumont2, Joseph Therriault2, Angela Kwan2, Giovanna Carello-Collar3, Brandon Hall2, João-Pedro Ferrari-Souza3, Marcel Woo4, Arthur Macedo2, Cécile Tissot5, Lydia Trudel2, Nesrine Rahmouni2, Stijn Servaes2, Paolo Vitali1, Jean-Paul Soucy2, Tharick Pascoal6, Eduardo Zimmer7, Serge Gauthier8, Pedro Rosa Neto2
1Neurology and Neurosugery, McGill University Research Centre for Studies in Aging, 2McGill University Research Centre for Studies in Aging, 3Graduate Program in Biological Sciences: Biochemistry, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, 46Department of Neurology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany, 5Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, 6University of Pittsburgh, 7Graduate Program in Biological Sciences: Biochemistry, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, 8Douglas Hospital
Objective:
To describe temporal changes in the features of randomized clinical trials (RCTs) design for interventions in Alzheimer disease (AD).
Background:
 The success of recent RCTs for AD, particularly those focusing on anti-amyloid therapies, has been discussed at length. However, the evolution of RCT design features for AD that preceded this success remain underexplored.
Design/Methods:

PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were searched in January 2025 for phase 2 and 3 AD RCTs published between January 1992 and December 2024. RCTs that investigated an intervention for AD, with a placebo or standard-of-care control group, were included. 


Results:

203 RCTs with 79 589 participants testing interventions in AD. From 1992 to 2024, the mean sample size increased by 464% for phase 2 RCTs (from 42 to 237), and 50% for phase 3 RCTs (from 632 to 951), while the mean trial duration increased by 188% (from 16 to 46 weeks) for phase 2, and 256% (from 20 to 71 weeks) for phase 3 RCTs. This longer duration of RCTs may be partially attributed by a greater share of disease-modifying rather than symptomatic treatments. Similarly, more recent trials required AD biomarker evidence for enrollment (from 1 of 36 [2.7%] before 2006 to 40 of 76 [52.6%] since 2019). A substantial difference in the type of therapeutics researched was observed, with anti-amyloid and anti-tau RCTs being more likely to be funded by the pharmaceutical industry compared with neurotransmitter or other RCTs (anti-amyloid or anti-tau, 68 of 71 [95.8%]; neurotransmitter, 52 of 69 [77.6%]; other, 33 of 52 [63.5%]).


Conclusions:
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AD RCTs have become larger and longer, such that they are powered to detect smaller clinical differences. The increased sample sizes and duration should enable the detection of smaller and more slowly occurring outcomes, which may lead to successful RCTs of therapies with slower and more subtle efficacy.


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10.1212/WNL.0000000000215902
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