Towards the Development of a Management Protocol for Subjective Cognitive Decline: Insights from a Cross-sectional and Longitudinal Analysis of Multimodal Data from a Memory Clinic
Salvatore Mazzeo1, Michael Lassi2, Sonia Padiglioni3, Alberto Arturo Vergani2, Valentina Moschini3, Giulia Giacomucci3, Carmen Morinelli3, Carlo Fabbiani5, Lorenzo Gaetano Amato2, Silvia Bagnoli5, Assunta Ingannato5, Maria Salsone1, Massimo Filippi6, Benedetta Nacmias5, Sandro Sorbi7, Antonello Grippo4, Alberto Mazzoni2, Valentina Bessi5
1Neurology Unit, "Vita-Salute" San Raffaele University, IRCCS Policlinico San Donato, 2The BioRobotics Institute and Department of Excellence in Robotics and AI, Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna, 3SOD Neurologia, Dipartimento Neuromuscolo-Scheletrico e degli Organi di Senso, 4SODC Neurofisiopatologia, Azienda Ospedaliero-universitaria Careggi, 5Department of Neuroscience, Psychology, Drug Research and Child Health, University of Florence,, University of Florence, 6Neurology Unit, Neurorehabilitation Unit, and Neurophysiology Service, "Vita-Salute" San Raffaele University, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, 7IRCCS Fondazione Don Carlo Gnocchi
Objective:

We aimed to investigate the relationships between clinical, cognitive, genetic and biological features in Subjective Cognitive Decline (SCD) and to assess how these features influence the risk of progression to dementia, with the goal of informing a targeted management protocol.

Background:

SCD is a common condition among elderly and middle-aged people. It is getting increasing attention by the research community as it represent the earliest manifestation of  Alzheimer's Disease (AD). Nevertheless, there is currently no consensus on the optimal clinical management of individuals with SCD, leading to considerable heterogeneity across centers, variability in diagnostic and therapeutic approaches.

Design/Methods:

440 SCD patients underwent neurological and neuropsychological assessments, MRI scans, APOE genotyping, and AD biomarker evaluations. Patients were followed for a median of 10 years. Relationships among features were first assessed univariately, focusing on differences across stratified subgroups. To capture multivariate associations, we applied network analysis using a Markov Random Field. Finally, baseline features were related to dementia progression using an XGboost machine learning model.

Results:

Women comprising 68.9% of the cohort, were generally younger at onset, had lower APOE ε4 prevalence, and differed in neuropsychological performance compared to men. Older patients (age >60) exhibited a higher prevalence of APOE ε4 and cerebral small vessel disease. Patients with depressive symptoms demonstrated lower cognitive performance across multiple domains. Network analysis indicated complex interconnections among gender, cognitive reserve, SCD severity, and depressive symptoms. The XGboost model achieved 74% accuracy in predicting progression to dementia, identifying age at onset, mini-mental state examination scores, and APOE genotype as the most important predictive factors.

Conclusions:

This study highlights the role of age, gender, APOE genotype, and depressive symptoms in the presentation and progression of cognitive decline. By identifying key predictive features, we propose a personalized management protocol aimed at optimizing care for individuals with SCD.

10.1212/WNL.0000000000215777
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