Interpretation of Clinical Progression in Multiple System Atrophy Using Percentage-wise Slowing in the Unified Multiple System Atrophy Rating Scale Score
Rachael Kershaw1, Stefano Zanigni2, Krishan Nighah,2, Daniel Oudin Ǻström2, Jonas Wiedemann2, Anna Karin Berger2
1Prima Global, 2Lundbeck
Objective:

To examine the appropriateness and clinical relevance of expressing trial results as a percentage slowing of clinical progression between treatment and placebo in Multiple System Atrophy (MSA), and to identify the threshold at which such a difference becomes clinically meaningful.

Background:

Treatment effects have been assessed and reported as absolute changes from baseline at a fixed time point. However, there is growing interest in evaluating trial outcomes as percentage changes over the entire treatment duration – particularly in the context of therapies with potential to slow clinical progression of neurodegenerative conditions such as MSA.

Design/Methods:
International clinical experts in MSA (n=12) participated in a Delphi panel to evaluate consensus (defined as ≥70% agreement) on two key points: (1) the suitability of expressing treatment effects as percentage slowing in the Unified Multiple System Atrophy Rating Scale (UMSARS) to interpret clinical progression in MSA, and (2) the percentage change threshold in UMSARS considered clinically meaningful for individuals in the early stages of the disease.
Results:

Consensus was reached on the appropriateness of expressing treatment effect as percentage-wise slowing in UMSARS for the interpretation of clinical progression in MSA. Consensus was reached that percentage-wise slowing at 21% and above would be clinically meaningful. Over 50% agreed the lower range of 16–20% would be clinically meaningful, however, consensus was not met.

Conclusions:

An international panel of MSA experts reached consensus that expressing treatment effects as percentage slowing in UMSARS scores is appropriate, identifying a threshold of 21% or greater as clinically meaningful.

10.1212/WNL.0000000000215328
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