Trend-Analysis of Cerebral Infarction-Related Mortality from 1999-2020
MOHAMMAD AMMAR UR RAHMAN1, Luqman Munir1
1King Edward Medical University
Objective:

Cerebral Infarction Mortality (CIM) is on the rise in the United States. In this study we explored CIM trends from 1999-2020, using age adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) to pinpoint incongruities between epidemiological groups.

Background:

Cerebral Infarction, commonly referred to as an Ischemic Stroke, is an acute medical emergency which manifests due to the obstruction of blood flow to the brain. A blood clot or narrowing of the arteries is often the underlying pathology.

Design/Methods:

Death Certificates from CDC WONDER (Centres for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiological Research) database were analysed from 1999-2020. AAMR per 100,000 people and annual percent change (APC) with 95% confidence interval were determined. Joinpoint Regression Program was used to ascertain trends amongst demographic (race, gender, age, urban/rural) groups.

Results:

238,776 mortalities due to Cerebral Infarction were reported between 1999 and 2020. Overall AAMR showed a consistent downward trajectory from 1999-2014 with the most significant decrease occurring between 2003-2006 with an APC of -18.50. However, a considerable increase occurred post 2014, specifically during the 2014-2017 timeframe with an APC of 37.43. Persistently greater mortality rates were discerned in African Americans, the 85+ years old age group and nonmetropolitan populations.

Conclusions:

Until recently (2014), deaths due to cerebral infarction were declining in the United States however the latest data indicates a sharp uptick which is concerning. Furthermore, constant disparities amongst demographic groups underline the need for further investigation and the formulation of targeted intervention strategies.

10.1212/WNL.0000000000211786
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