Temporal Trends of Stroke and Dementia-related Mortality among Older Adults in the United States and Impact of COVID-19: Insight from 24-year Analysis
Wajeeh Hassan1, Javeria Javeid1, Areej Javeid1, Nishitha Bujala2, Muhammad Saim3, Mohammad Munim Zahoor4, Usama Ahmed5, Muhammad Shehryar Hussain1, Sadia Akram6, Syed Inam7, Edwin Serrano8
1Allama Iqbal Medical College, Jinnah Hospital, 2Kamineni Institute of Medical Sciences, 3Mass General Brigham, 4Geisinger Health, 5Shaikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al-Nahyan Medical and Dental College, 6Jinnah Sindh Medical University, 7Marshall Neurology, 8Medstar Georgetown University Hospital
Objective:

To examine trends of stroke and dementia-related mortality stratified by sex, race, and region among older adults in the United States (US) from 1999 to 2022 and the impact of COVID-19 on them.

Background:

Stroke and dementia, the two leading causes of neurological deaths globally, have an integrated relation with increased risk of stroke in patients with dementia and 1 in 3 patients with stroke developing dementia. Data for stroke and dementia-related mortality remain underexplored in the US. 

Design/Methods:
We analyzed the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) for death certificates (1999-2022) of adults 65 years and older, with stroke (ICD-10 code: I60-I69) and dementia (ICD-10 codes: F01, F03, G30, and G31). Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 and annual percent change (APC) were calculated through joint-point regression analysis.
Results:

Between 1999 and 2022, a total of 882,676 deaths attributed to stroke and dementia were reported. Overall, the AAMR increased from 70.1 in 1999 to 102 in 2022 [(APC 1999-2002 = 14.74*), (APC 2002-2006 = -10.9*); (APC 2006-2015 = -0.56); (APC 2015-2022 = 5.4*)]. Women had a higher AAMR (87.98) than men (80.89). The AAMR peaked during COVID-19 (2020-2021) [AAMR =103.4] showing a percentage change of 23% as compared to the pre-COVID period (1999-2019) [AAMR = 83.6]. AAMR varied by race [Non-Hispanic (NH) African Americans=112.4; NH Whites=85.8; NH American Indians=66.5; Hispanics=64.4; and NH Asians or Pacific Islanders=57.2] and by region [West=93.5; South=93.4; Midwest=88.9; and Northeast=61.9]. States above the 90th percentile were Vermont, Oregon, Washington, South Carolina, and Alaska.

Conclusions:

Stroke and dementia-related mortality has spiked recently in the US from 2015 to 2022, among women and African Americans, especially during COVID-19. Insights gained from this study can help identify high-risk populations and inform healthcare service requirements for managing stroke and dementia in the US.

10.1212/WNL.0000000000208513
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